Friday 18 March 2016
Australia likely heading to a double disolution election - Michelle Grattan
The stage is set. Senate reforms have passed supposedly to eliminate micro parties getting elected in back room preference deals (that actually remains to be seen according to modelling) and so Turnbull will very likely dissolve both lower and upper houses of federal parliament and try to get a more friendly senate to pass his party's agenda.
The paradoxical elephant in the room, is that the senate has been reformed to make it much easier for voters to get elected who they voted for, without said backroom preference deals. If that is the case then it's fair to say that Australians are loath to give any gov full control of both houses, even in a landslide election. Australians still like to have the upper house as a house of review and not a gov rubber stamp.
Who could forget what happened last time a gov got full control like that? We ended up with WorkChoices.
The other thing is is that you just never know now. Even with Turnbull our lovely shining wet fish of a PM and his cavalcade of unrepresentative lunar right swill, may just lose to Labor. The gloss is off, the polls are mostly 50/50 now. Too close for anyone to call.
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