Friday, 4 November 2016

Final NYT's/CBS poll - Hillary +3 over Trump

In the final New York Times/CBS Newspoll poll to be taken before the US election, the poll has come in with Hillary remaining 3 points ahead of Trump at 45/42. This is pretty much in keeping with the Australian Bludgertrack aggregate of polls showing Clinton around two points ahead

At this late stage in an election most people have made up their mind one way or the other and will stick to it no matter what comes out in the media. 

I don't understand here in Australia why the US presidential elections are so long and drawn out. If we have a six week federal election campaign that's considered very long. To have a man like Trump given a platform over months to preach hate is simply counterproductive to democracy. The divisions he's created run deep.

The same poll also shows disgust and repulsion with this election by a large number of US voters. In the likelihood of a Hillary win the political waters will remain toxic for some time to come. The sort of hate that Trump has unleashed and fostered in his campaign isn't just going to go away overnight. 
In a grim preview of the discontent that may cloud at least the outset of the next president’s term, Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump are seen by a majority of voters as unlikely to bring the country back together after this bitter election season. 

With more than eight in 10 voters saying the campaign has left them repulsed rather than excited, the rising toxicity threatens the ultimate victor. Mrs. Clinton, the Democratic candidate, and Mr. Trump, the Republican nominee, are seen as dishonest and viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters. 

While her advantage has narrowed since mid-October, Mrs. Clinton still has an edge in the survey because of a commanding advantage among women and nonwhite voters. She has the support of 45 percent of likely voters while Mr. Trump has 42 percent. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian nominee, has slipped to 5 percent, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, is at 4 percent. New York Times